Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1085.215974 1223.172518 1373.698059 1550.414357 1752.554966 1976.973143 2245.570325
2026-01-18 868.990172 1055.076309 1275.379140 1556.648507 1907.949011 2334.482102 2894.990734
2026-01-25 757.933931 969.575585 1235.012020 1594.919867 2074.101156 2695.580548 3571.490054
2026-02-01 677.616002 903.761382 1200.835453 1623.798715 2217.229987 3030.156185 4245.243423
2026-02-08 612.690467 846.571663 1166.160296 1640.660623 2337.310212 3338.360594 4914.380779
2026-02-15 561.131975 799.878162 1137.697005 1658.374763 2454.647614 3649.502445 5622.158593
2026-02-22 522.600421 766.411208 1122.577972 1690.764764 2593.184217 4003.230619 6437.748449
2026-03-01 471.696951 708.846024 1064.937725 1650.223577 2610.994059 4166.544498 6960.936624
2026-03-08 425.239245 653.249422 1004.238073 1597.017172 2599.906785 4277.638866 7404.362092
2026-03-15 385.040181 603.594828 947.834383 1544.039722 2581.504323 4371.105611 7824.036375
2026-03-22 370.136477 592.874467 952.398081 1592.122392 2739.597719 4785.867597 8886.436161
2026-03-29 352.208894 575.441346 943.980189 1616.348378 2856.899272 5139.044470 9878.473973
2026-04-05 332.526999 553.848368 927.353188 1625.676484 2950.413076 5463.626076 10871.918408
2026-04-12 313.856693 532.477246 909.289253 1630.627151 3036.348400 5784.373035 11907.838903
2026-04-19 302.356256 522.603448 910.411148 1670.836306 3194.039161 6264.860282 13358.905064
2026-04-26 290.364928 510.774737 906.789957 1701.233692 3334.922407 6727.339410 14842.366177
2026-05-03 277.636069 496.517236 897.342801 1718.985500 3451.301646 7151.577240 16304.738482
2026-05-10 266.046562 483.427160 888.892300 1737.635738 3571.128932 7597.335124 17891.103865
2026-05-17 257.183321 474.777246 888.143073 1771.740139 3727.712841 8144.451714 19821.882649
2026-05-24 240.249193 449.289162 852.405484 1729.053668 3709.135545 8284.939716 20725.928458
2026-05-31 223.269052 422.534612 812.151894 1673.040316 3654.221956 8332.301717 21388.762778
2026-06-07 207.660138 397.477989 773.552740 1617.277881 3594.138042 8359.989730 22003.051515
2026-06-14 203.773012 395.761912 782.652161 1667.887803 3790.825153 9049.057583 24609.454222